Colloquium-October 6, 2017

Friday, October 6, 2017 (3:15 p.m. in Yost 306)

Title: Foundations of probability – failure of philosophy as a descriptive science

Speaker:  Krzysztof Burdzy (Professor of Mathematics and Adjunct Professor of Statistics, University of Washington at Seattle)

Abstract: What is the probability of global warming? Specifically​, ​what is the probability that ​b​y 2100, the average U.S.temperature​ will increase by about ​7 degrees Fahrenheit?
According ​to one of the two most prominent philosophical theories of probability, the question makes no sense. According to the other theory, the probability in question is whatever you think it is.

​No matter whether you are alt-right or alt-left, come to my lecture to learn sophisticated intellectual tools to support your favorite cause, no matter how irrational it might be.

Information about the speaker:

Chris Burdzy is a distinguished probabilist with major results on the borderline of stochastic processes, potential theory and harmonic analysis. He’s been Editor-in-Chief of the Annals of Probability from 2012-2014, and founder of the Electronic Journal of Probability. Recently his interests included the interaction between probability and philosophy and he published two books on the topic:

“The Search for Certainty: On the Clash of Science and Philosophy of Probability” , 2009

“Resonance: From Probability to Epistemology and Back”, 2016

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